1
33%
Home Win
3.04
X
19%
Draw
5.15
2
48%
Away Win
2.1
xG Home
1.99
xG Away
2.38
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
78%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gabon an expected 2.0 goals and Mozambique an expected 2.4 goals. Gabon have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Mozambique at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
7.1%
2:2
7.1%
1:1
6%
2:1
5.9%
1:3
5.7%
2:3
5.6%
3:2
4.7%
3:1
3.9%
3:3
3.7%
0:2
3.6%
1:4
3.4%
2:4
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gabon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Gabon | Mozambique | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Gabon
2 : 0
Mozambique
W
Mozambique
1 : 0
Gabon
L