1
56%
Home Win
1.79
X
25%
Draw
4.01
2
19%
Away Win
5.2
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives France an expected 1.6 goals and England an expected 0.8 goals. France have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and England at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.1%
1:1
11.7%
2:0
11.3%
2:1
9.4%
0:0
8.8%
0:1
7.2%
3:0
6.1%
3:1
5%
1:2
4.8%
2:2
3.9%
0:2
3%
4:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| France | England | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 3.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
England
1 : 2
France
W
France
3 : 2
England
W
France
1 : 1
England
D