1
17%
Home Win
6.02
X
51%
Draw
1.95
2
32%
Away Win
3.11
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.52
Over 2.5 Goals
5%
BTTS
10%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FK Crvena zvezda an expected 0.3 goals and Plzen an expected 0.5 goals. FK Crvena zvezda have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 51%, and Plzen at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 95%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
44.1%
0:1
22.9%
1:0
13.2%
1:1
6.9%
0:2
5.9%
2:0
2%
1:2
1.8%
2:1
1%
0:3
1%
1:3
0.3%
2:2
0.3%
3:0
0.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| FK Crvena zvezda | Plzen | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 14 |
| 14 | Points | 14 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.38 |
