1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
20%
Draw
4.89
2
23%
Away Win
4.4
xG Home
2.17
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Fenerbahce an expected 2.2 goals and Besiktas an expected 1.3 goals. Fenerbahce have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Besiktas at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.5%
1:1
8.7%
2:0
7.2%
3:1
6.9%
1:0
6.6%
2:2
6.3%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.2%
3:2
4.5%
0:1
4%
4:1
3.7%
0:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fenerbahce Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Fenerbahce | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 74 | Points | 60 |
| 62% | Win % | 50% |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Fenerbahce at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Besiktas Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Fenerbahce
W
Besiktas
D
W
L
