1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
31%
Draw
3.27
2
21%
Away Win
4.73
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Egypt an expected 1.2 goals and Nigeria an expected 0.7 goals. Egypt have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Nigeria at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.3%
0:0
15.4%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
10.9%
0:1
10.5%
2:1
7.4%
3:0
4.3%
1:2
4.2%
0:2
3.6%
3:1
3%
2:2
2.5%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nigeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Egypt | Nigeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 67% | Win % | 100% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Egypt
2 : 1
Nigeria
W
Nigeria
1 : 0
Egypt
L
Nigeria
1 : 0
Egypt
L