1
90%
Home Win
1.11
X
8%
Draw
13.21
2
2%
Away Win
53.76
xG Home
3.04
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ecuador an expected 3.0 goals and Jamaica an expected 0.3 goals. Ecuador have a 90% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Jamaica at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
16.6%
2:0
16.4%
4:0
12.6%
1:0
10.8%
3:1
5%
2:1
4.9%
4:1
3.8%
0:0
3.5%
1:1
3.2%
0:1
1.1%
3:2
0.7%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ecuador Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Ecuador | Jamaica | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
Head to Head
Ecuador
2 : 0
Jamaica
W