1
43%
Home Win
2.32
X
30%
Draw
3.37
2
27%
Away Win
3.67
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ecuador an expected 1.2 goals and Jamaica an expected 0.9 goals. Ecuador have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Jamaica at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
12.5%
0:1
11.1%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
7.9%
1:2
5.8%
0:2
4.9%
3:0
3.5%
2:2
3.5%
3:1
3.1%
1:3
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ecuador Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Head to Head
Ecuador
2 : 0
Jamaica
W