1
33%
Home Win
3.07
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
39%
Away Win
2.57
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Damac an expected 1.1 goals and Al-Fayha FC an expected 1.2 goals. Damac have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Al-Fayha FC at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
0:1
12.4%
1:0
11.1%
0:0
10.3%
1:2
8%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.1%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
0:3
3%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Fayha FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Damac | Al-Fayha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 10 |
| 29 | Points | 38 |
| 18% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Damac at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Al-Fayha FC Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Damac
W
Al-Fayha FC
L
L
