1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives CSKA Sofia an expected 1.4 goals and Qarabağ FK an expected 1.1 goals. CSKA Sofia have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Qarabağ FK at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
8.6%
2:0
8.4%
0:0
8%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.8%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Qarabağ FK Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
CSKA Sofia at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Qarabağ FK Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
CSKA Sofia
D
W
Qarabağ FK
D
Head to Head
Qarabag
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia
D
CSKA Sofia
0 : 1
Qarabag
W