1
35%
Home Win
2.86
X
37%
Draw
2.72
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
0.69
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Croatia an expected 0.8 goals and Ghana an expected 0.7 goals. Croatia have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 37%, and Ghana at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
22.5%
1:0
18.1%
0:1
15.5%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
7.3%
0:2
5.3%
2:1
5%
1:2
4.3%
3:0
1.9%
2:2
1.7%
3:1
1.3%
0:3
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Croatia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Croatia | Ghana | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |