Costa Rica vs Suriname Prediction

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3 – 0
Most Likely Score
Mon, 16 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 80%
Home Win 1.25
X 12%
Draw 8.35
2 7%
Away Win 13.35
xG Home 3.05
xG Away 0.87
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Costa Rica an expected 3.0 goals and Suriname an expected 0.9 goals. Costa Rica have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Suriname at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 75%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:0 9.4%
2:0 9.2%
3:1 8.2%
2:1 8%
4:0 7.1%
4:1 6.2%
1:0 6%
1:1 5.3%
3:2 3.6%
2:2 3.5%
4:2 2.7%
1:2 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Costa Rica Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Costa Rica Suriname
2 League Position 4
7 Points 1
67% Win % 0%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Head to Head

11 Oct 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname 1 : 1 Costa Rica
D
17 Jul 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup
Suriname 1 : 2 Costa Rica
W