1
52%
Home Win
1.93
X
24%
Draw
4.22
2
24%
Away Win
4.09
xG Home
1.74
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Costa Rica an expected 1.7 goals and Paraguay an expected 1.1 goals. Costa Rica have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Paraguay at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:0
10%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
8.7%
0:1
6.4%
1:2
6.2%
0:0
5.7%
3:1
5.6%
2:2
5.4%
3:0
5%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Costa Rica Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Costa Rica | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
Head to Head
Costa Rica
0 : 0
Paraguay
D