Congo DR vs Benin Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 23 Dec 2025 · Africa Cup of Nations
1 78%
Home Win 1.28
X 17%
Draw 5.82
2 5%
Away Win 21.41
xG Home 1.99
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 22%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Congo DR an expected 2.0 goals and Benin an expected 0.3 goals. Congo DR have a 78% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Benin at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 20.2%
2:0 20.1%
3:0 13.3%
0:0 10.2%
4:0 6.6%
1:1 6.1%
2:1 6%
3:1 4%
0:1 3%
4:1 2%
1:2 0.9%
2:2 0.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Congo DR Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Congo DR Benin
2 League Position 3
7 Points 3
67% Win % 33%
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33

Head to Head

14 Nov 2021 World Cup - Qualification Africa
Congo DR 2 : 0 Benin
W
06 Sep 2021 World Cup - Qualification Africa
Benin 1 : 1 Congo DR
D