1
19%
Home Win
5.17
X
58%
Draw
1.72
2
22%
Away Win
4.46
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
BTTS
7%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Comoros an expected 0.3 goals and Mali an expected 0.3 goals. Comoros have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 58%, and Mali at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 97%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
52.7%
0:1
17.9%
1:0
15.8%
1:1
5.4%
0:2
3.1%
2:0
2.4%
1:2
0.9%
2:1
0.8%
0:3
0.3%
3:0
0.2%
2:2
0.1%
1:3
0.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mali Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Comoros | Mali | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 2 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 0 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Mali
3 : 0
Comoros
L
Comoros
0 : 3
Mali
L