1
90%
Home Win
1.11
X
2%
Draw
40.16
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
5.00
xG Away
0.56
Over 2.5 Goals
85%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Colombia an expected 5.0 goals and Paraguay an expected 0.6 goals. Colombia have a 90% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Paraguay at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
10%
3:0
8%
4:1
5.6%
2:0
4.8%
3:1
4.5%
2:1
2.7%
1:0
1.9%
4:2
1.6%
3:2
1.3%
1:1
1.1%
2:2
0.8%
0:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Colombia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Colombia | Paraguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 0 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
Head to Head
Paraguay
0 : 1
Colombia
W
Colombia
2 : 0
Paraguay
W
Colombia
0 : 0
Paraguay
D