1
39%
Home Win
2.57
X
46%
Draw
2.16
2
15%
Away Win
6.78
xG Home
0.66
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
BTTS
12%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Colombia an expected 0.7 goals and Ghana an expected 0.3 goals. Colombia have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 46%, and Ghana at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 93%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
38.5%
1:0
25.2%
0:1
11.5%
2:0
8.3%
1:1
7.6%
2:1
2.5%
3:0
1.8%
0:2
1.7%
1:2
1.1%
3:1
0.5%
2:2
0.4%
4:0
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Draw |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Colombia | Ghana | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
