1
85%
Home Win
1.18
X
11%
Draw
8.82
2
4%
Away Win
28.49
xG Home
2.61
xG Away
0.37
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Colombia an expected 2.6 goals and Costa Rica an expected 0.4 goals. Colombia have a 85% win probability, draw stands at 11%, and Costa Rica at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
17.3%
3:0
15%
1:0
13.2%
4:0
9.8%
2:1
6.4%
3:1
5.6%
0:0
5.1%
1:1
4.9%
4:1
3.6%
0:1
1.9%
2:2
1.2%
3:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Colombia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Colombia | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Colombia
3 : 1
Costa Rica
W
Colombia
2 : 3
Costa Rica
L