Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Tue, 08 Sep 2026 · Champions League
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.83
xG Away 1.35
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Club Brugge KV an expected 1.8 goals and Aston Villa an expected 1.4 goals. Club Brugge KV have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Aston Villa at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.3%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 7.6%
1:2 7%
2:0 6.9%
2:2 6.4%
3:1 5.7%
0:1 5.6%
3:0 4.2%
0:0 4.2%
3:2 3.9%
0:2 3.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Club Brugge KV Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Venue Form

Club Brugge KV at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
Aston Villa Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Club Brugge KV
L
Aston Villa
W