1
17%
Home Win
5.76
X
53%
Draw
1.88
2
29%
Away Win
3.4
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.47
Over 2.5 Goals
4%
BTTS
10%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chile an expected 0.3 goals and Argentina an expected 0.5 goals. Chile have a 17% win probability, draw stands at 53%, and Argentina at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 96%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
46.5%
0:1
21.7%
1:0
13.9%
1:1
6.5%
0:2
5%
2:0
2.1%
1:2
1.5%
2:1
1%
0:3
0.8%
1:3
0.2%
2:2
0.2%
3:0
0.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Chile | Argentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 9 |
| 0% | Win % | 100% |
| 0 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0 |
Head to Head
Chile
1 : 2
Argentina
L
Argentina
1 : 1
Chile
D
Argentina
1 : 1
Chile
D