Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 07 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 25%
Draw 4.06
2 28%
Away Win 3.54
xG Home 1.61
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Chicago Fire an expected 1.6 goals and Vancouver Whitecaps an expected 1.2 goals. Chicago Fire have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Vancouver Whitecaps at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Chicago Fire Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Venue Form

Chicago Fire at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Vancouver Whitecaps Away
W2 D2 L1 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Chicago Fire
D L L W
Vancouver Whitecaps
W W D D L