1
47%
Home Win
2.12
X
25%
Draw
4.07
2
28%
Away Win
3.53
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chengdu Better City an expected 1.6 goals and Shandong Luneng an expected 1.2 goals. Chengdu Better City have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Shandong Luneng at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.8%
0:1
7.2%
1:2
6.9%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5.1%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chengdu Better City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
Chengdu Better City at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Shandong Luneng Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Chengdu Better City
L
Shandong Luneng
L
Head to Head
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1
Shandong Luneng
W
Shandong Luneng
1 : 3
Chengdu Better City
W
Shandong Luneng
0 : 3
Chengdu Better City
W