1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chelsea an expected 1.9 goals and Los Angeles FC an expected 0.3 goals. Chelsea have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Los Angeles FC at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.9%
2:0
20%
3:0
12.8%
0:0
10.9%
1:1
6.3%
4:0
6.1%
2:1
6%
3:1
3.8%
0:1
3.3%
4:1
1.8%
1:2
0.9%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chelsea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Chelsea | Los Angeles FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 1 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |