1
6%
Home Win
16.39
X
22%
Draw
4.6
2
72%
Away Win
1.39
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 0.3 goals and Uruguay an expected 1.7 goals. Canada have a 6% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Uruguay at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
23.2%
0:2
19.5%
0:0
13.8%
0:3
10.9%
1:1
7%
1:2
5.8%
0:4
4.6%
1:0
4.2%
1:3
3.3%
1:4
1.4%
2:1
1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Uruguay Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Canada | Uruguay | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 9 |
| 33% | Win % | 100% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Canada
0 : 2
Uruguay
L