Canada vs Qatar Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Thu, 18 Jun 2026 · World Cup
1 91%
Home Win 1.1
X 2%
Draw 50.76
2 1%
Away Win 100
xG Home 5.00
xG Away 0.41
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
BTTS 31%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 5.0 goals and Qatar an expected 0.4 goals. Canada have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Qatar at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 84%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 11.6%
3:0 9.3%
2:0 5.6%
4:1 4.8%
3:1 3.8%
2:1 2.3%
1:0 2.2%
4:2 1%
1:1 0.9%
3:2 0.8%
2:2 0.5%
0:0 0.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Canada Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Canada Qatar
2 League Position 4
4 Points 1
33% Win % 0%
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 3.33

Head to Head

23 Sep 2022 Friendlies
Qatar 0 : 2 Canada
W