Canada vs El Salvador Prediction

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3 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 25 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 90%
Home Win 1.11
X 8%
Draw 13.26
2 2%
Away Win 54.05
xG Home 3.05
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
BTTS 25%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 3.0 goals and El Salvador an expected 0.3 goals. Canada have a 90% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and El Salvador at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

3:0 16.6%
2:0 16.3%
4:0 12.6%
1:0 10.7%
3:1 5%
2:1 4.9%
4:1 3.8%
0:0 3.5%
1:1 3.2%
0:1 1.1%
3:2 0.7%
2:2 0.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Canada Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Canada El Salvador
1 League Position 4
7 Points 1
67% Win % 0%
3 Avg Goals Scored 0
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33

Head to Head

03 Feb 2022 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
El Salvador 0 : 2 Canada
W
08 Sep 2021 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Canada 3 : 0 El Salvador
W
08 Oct 2017 Friendlies
El Salvador 1 : 0 Canada
L