1
20%
Home Win
4.99
X
60%
Draw
1.67
2
20%
Away Win
4.99
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
2%
BTTS
7%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 0.3 goals and Chile an expected 0.3 goals. Canada have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 60%, and Chile at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 98%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
54.9%
0:1
16.5%
1:0
16.5%
1:1
4.9%
0:2
2.5%
2:0
2.5%
1:2
0.7%
2:1
0.7%
0:3
0.2%
3:0
0.2%
2:2
0.1%
1:3
0.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Canada Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Canada | Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 2 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |