Cameroon vs Morocco Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 09 Jan 2026 · Africa Cup of Nations
1 44%
Home Win 2.26
X 28%
Draw 3.57
2 28%
Away Win 3.62
xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.97
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Cameroon an expected 1.3 goals and Morocco an expected 1.0 goals. Cameroon have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Morocco at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.3%
0:1 10%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Morocco Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Head to Head

03 Feb 2021 African Nations Championship
Morocco 4 : 0 Cameroon
L
16 Nov 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco 2 : 0 Cameroon
L
10 Jun 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
Cameroon 1 : 0 Morocco
W