1
91%
Home Win
1.1
X
5%
Draw
19.05
2
2%
Away Win
50.51
xG Home
3.94
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 3.9 goals and Norway an expected 0.6 goals. Brazil have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Norway at 2%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
11.4%
4:0
11.3%
2:0
8.7%
3:1
6.3%
4:1
6.2%
2:1
4.8%
1:0
4.4%
1:1
2.4%
3:2
1.7%
4:2
1.7%
2:2
1.3%
0:0
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
