1
67%
Home Win
1.48
X
23%
Draw
4.44
2
10%
Away Win
9.94
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
0.49
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 1.7 goals and Japan an expected 0.5 goals. Brazil have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Japan at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19%
2:0
16.2%
0:0
11.1%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
9.2%
2:1
7.9%
0:1
5.4%
3:1
4.5%
4:0
3.9%
1:2
2.3%
2:2
1.9%
4:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Japan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
