1
79%
Home Win
1.26
X
16%
Draw
6.41
2
5%
Away Win
19.72
xG Home
2.17
xG Away
0.37
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 2.2 goals and Costa Rica an expected 0.4 goals. Brazil have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Costa Rica at 5%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
18.5%
1:0
17%
3:0
13.4%
0:0
7.8%
4:0
7.3%
2:1
6.9%
1:1
6.3%
3:1
5%
0:1
2.9%
4:1
2.7%
2:2
1.3%
1:2
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Costa Rica | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 4 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Brazil
2 : 0
Costa Rica
W