1
2%
Home Win
51.02
X
8%
Draw
12.56
2
90%
Away Win
1.11
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
2.98
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botswana an expected 0.3 goals and Congo DR an expected 3.0 goals. Botswana have a 2% win probability, draw stands at 8%, and Congo DR at 90%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
16.7%
0:3
16.6%
0:4
12.4%
0:1
11.2%
1:2
5%
1:3
5%
0:0
3.8%
1:4
3.7%
1:1
3.4%
1:0
1.1%
2:2
0.8%
2:3
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Congo DR Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Botswana | Congo DR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Congo DR
2 : 0
Botswana
L