Bolivia vs Algeria Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bolivia an expected 1.4 goals and Algeria an expected 1.0 goals. Bolivia have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Algeria at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1 (~13% probability). However, when all Bolivia Win scorelines are combined, that outcome reaches 45% — making it the strongest bet. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.