1
39%
Home Win
2.54
X
19%
Draw
5.34
2
42%
Away Win
2.4
xG Home
2.38
xG Away
2.44
Over 2.5 Goals
86%
BTTS
83%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bodø/Glimt an expected 2.4 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 2.4 goals. Bodø/Glimt have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Borussia Dortmund at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 86%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
6.8%
1:2
5.7%
2:1
5.6%
2:3
5.5%
3:2
5.4%
1:1
4.7%
1:3
4.7%
3:1
4.4%
3:3
4.4%
2:4
3.4%
4:2
3.2%
1:4
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Borussia Dortmund Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Bodø/Glimt | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | League Position | 17 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 25% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.38 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.13 |
