1
84%
Home Win
1.19
X
13%
Draw
8
2
3%
Away Win
30.67
xG Home
2.40
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 2.4 goals and Turkey an expected 0.3 goals. Belgium have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Turkey at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
19.4%
1:0
16.1%
3:0
15.5%
4:0
9.3%
0:0
6.7%
2:1
5.8%
1:1
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
4:1
2.8%
0:1
2%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 84% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.19 |
| Market Odds | 1.27 |
Team Comparison
| Belgium | Turkey | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 0 |
| 50% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.5 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.5 |
Venue Form
Belgium at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Belgium
L