Belgium vs Turkey Prediction

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2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 02 Oct 2026 · UEFA Nations League
1 84%
Home Win 1.19
X 13%
Draw 8
2 3%
Away Win 30.67
xG Home 2.40
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 24%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 2.4 goals and Turkey an expected 0.3 goals. Belgium have a 84% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Turkey at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 19.4%
1:0 16.1%
3:0 15.5%
4:0 9.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:1 5.8%
1:1 4.8%
3:1 4.6%
4:1 2.8%
0:1 2%
2:2 0.9%
1:2 0.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Belgium Win
Probability 84%
Predicted Odds 1.19
Market Odds 1.27

Team Comparison

Belgium Turkey
2 League Position 4
3 Points 0
50% Win % 0%
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5

Venue Form

Belgium at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Belgium
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