1
77%
Home Win
1.29
X
12%
Draw
8.47
2
10%
Away Win
10.16
xG Home
3.45
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern Munich an expected 3.5 goals and VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.3 goals. Bayern Munich have a 77% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and VfB Stuttgart at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
7.8%
2:1
6.7%
4:1
6.7%
3:0
6.1%
2:0
5.3%
4:0
5.3%
3:2
4.9%
2:2
4.3%
4:2
4.2%
1:1
3.9%
1:0
3.1%
1:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern Munich Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 77% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.3 |
| Market Odds | 1.38 |
Team Comparison
| Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 89 | Points | 62 |
| 82% | Win % | 53% |
| 3.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Bayern Munich at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
VfB Stuttgart Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
D
W
W
VfB Stuttgart
D
L