1
27%
Home Win
3.65
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
47%
Away Win
2.11
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.56
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Austria Wien an expected 1.1 goals and Sturm Graz an expected 1.6 goals. Austria Wien have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sturm Graz at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9.3%
0:2
8.3%
1:0
7.7%
0:0
6.8%
2:1
6.7%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4.9%
0:3
4.3%
2:0
4.3%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Austria Wien | Sturm Graz | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 44% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.59 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Austria Wien at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Sturm Graz Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Austria Wien
W
Sturm Graz
L
