1
42%
Home Win
2.38
X
40%
Draw
2.48
2
18%
Away Win
5.67
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
BTTS
19%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Australia an expected 0.8 goals and Türkiye an expected 0.4 goals. Australia have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 40%, and Türkiye at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
29.6%
1:0
23.8%
0:1
12.2%
1:1
9.8%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
4%
3:0
2.6%
0:2
2.5%
1:2
2%
3:1
1.1%
2:2
0.8%
4:0
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Australia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Australia | Türkiye | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |