1
76%
Home Win
1.32
X
18%
Draw
5.45
2
6%
Away Win
17.51
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 1.9 goals and Egypt an expected 0.3 goals. Argentina have a 76% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Egypt at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.9%
2:0
19.2%
3:0
12.3%
0:0
10.3%
1:1
6.8%
2:1
6.6%
4:0
5.9%
3:1
4.2%
0:1
3.5%
4:1
2%
1:2
1.2%
2:2
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 5 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
