1
56%
Home Win
1.79
X
34%
Draw
2.96
2
10%
Away Win
9.83
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
BTTS
17%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 1.1 goals and Colombia an expected 0.3 goals. Argentina have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Colombia at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
27.2%
0:0
25%
2:0
14.8%
1:1
8.1%
0:1
7.5%
3:0
5.3%
2:1
4.4%
3:1
1.6%
4:0
1.5%
1:2
1.2%
0:2
1.1%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Colombia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 7 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Argentina
1 : 0
Colombia
W
Argentina
1 : 1
Colombia
D
Colombia
2 : 2
Argentina
D