1
92%
Home Win
1.08
X
5%
Draw
21.32
2
1%
Away Win
71.43
xG Home
3.86
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 3.9 goals and Austria an expected 0.4 goals. Argentina have a 92% win probability, draw stands at 5%, and Austria at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
13.4%
4:0
12.9%
2:0
10.4%
3:1
5.5%
1:0
5.4%
4:1
5.3%
2:1
4.3%
1:1
2.2%
0:0
1.4%
3:2
1.1%
4:2
1.1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Austria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |