1
34%
Home Win
2.93
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
38%
Away Win
2.63
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.1 goals and St. Truiden an expected 1.2 goals. Anderlecht have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and St. Truiden at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.5%
1:0
10.7%
0:0
9.4%
1:2
8%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
4.6%
1:3
3.3%
3:1
2.9%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Truiden Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Anderlecht | St. Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 22 | Points | 29 |
| 39% | Win % | 58% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
Venue Form
Anderlecht at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
St. Truiden Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Anderlecht
W
L
L
St. Truiden
L
L
W
D
L
Head to Head
St. Truiden
2 : 0
Anderlecht
L
Anderlecht
2 : 1
St. Truiden
L
St. Truiden
2 : 2
Anderlecht
D