1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals and St. Truiden an expected 1.4 goals. Anderlecht have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and St. Truiden at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
10.8%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.7%
0:0
7.8%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.3%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
4.1%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Truiden Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Anderlecht | St. Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 33 | Points | 43 |
| 38% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
Venue Form
Anderlecht at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
St. Truiden Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Anderlecht
W
D
W
L
L
St. Truiden
L
L
W
D
L
Head to Head
St. Truiden
2 : 0
Anderlecht
L
Anderlecht
2 : 1
St. Truiden
L
St. Truiden
2 : 2
Anderlecht
D