Anderlecht vs St. Truiden Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 21 May 2026 · Jupiler Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.16
xG Away 1.39
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals and St. Truiden an expected 1.4 goals. Anderlecht have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and St. Truiden at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.6%
0:1 10.8%
1:0 9.1%
1:2 8.7%
0:0 7.8%
0:2 7.5%
2:1 7.3%
2:0 5.3%
2:2 5.1%
1:3 4.1%
0:3 3.5%
3:1 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick St. Truiden Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Anderlecht St. Truiden
4 League Position 3
33 Points 43
38% Win % 55%
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15

Venue Form

Anderlecht at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
St. Truiden Away
W1 D1 L3 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

Anderlecht
W D W L L
St. Truiden
L L W D L

Head to Head

23 Apr 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden 2 : 0 Anderlecht
L
13 Dec 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht 2 : 1 St. Truiden
L
19 Oct 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden 2 : 2 Anderlecht
D