1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.70
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.7 goals and Genk an expected 1.3 goals. Anderlecht have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Genk at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.1%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.8%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.5%
2:2
5.9%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Anderlecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Venue Form
Anderlecht at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Genk Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Anderlecht
W
D
W
L
L
Genk
L
D
D
L
W
