1
81%
Home Win
1.24
X
13%
Draw
7.96
2
7%
Away Win
15.31
xG Home
2.78
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Algeria an expected 2.8 goals and Nigeria an expected 0.7 goals. Algeria have a 81% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Nigeria at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.1%
3:0
11.2%
1:0
8.7%
2:1
8.3%
4:0
7.8%
3:1
7.7%
1:1
5.9%
4:1
5.3%
0:0
3.1%
2:2
2.8%
3:2
2.6%
0:1
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Algeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Algeria | Nigeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 9 | Points | 9 |
| 100% | Win % | 100% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Algeria
2 : 1
Nigeria
W
Algeria
2 : 1
Nigeria
W
Algeria
1 : 1
Nigeria
D