1
33%
Home Win
3.02
X
17%
Draw
5.73
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
2.41
xG Away
2.89
Over 2.5 Goals
89%
BTTS
86%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Algeria an expected 2.4 goals and Austria an expected 2.9 goals. Algeria have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Austria at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 89%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
6%
2:3
5.8%
1:2
5%
3:2
4.9%
1:3
4.8%
3:3
4.7%
2:4
4.2%
2:1
4.2%
1:4
3.5%
1:1
3.5%
3:4
3.4%
3:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Austria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Algeria | Austria | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 4 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |