1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
18%
Draw
5.64
2
12%
Away Win
8.11
xG Home
2.31
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Taawoun FC an expected 2.3 goals and Al Riyadh an expected 0.9 goals. Al Taawoun FC have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Al Riyadh at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.2%
1:0
9.7%
2:1
9.6%
3:0
8.6%
1:1
8.4%
3:1
7.4%
4:0
5%
4:1
4.3%
0:0
4.2%
2:2
4.1%
0:1
3.6%
1:2
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Taawoun FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 70% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.43 |
| Market Odds | 1.52 |
Team Comparison
| Al Taawoun FC | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 15 |
| 53 | Points | 30 |
| 44% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Al Taawoun FC at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Al Riyadh Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Al Taawoun FC
D
D
L
Al Riyadh
D
D
