1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
15%
Draw
6.51
2
10%
Away Win
9.62
xG Home
2.60
xG Away
0.88
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Nassr an expected 2.6 goals and Al Taawoun FC an expected 0.9 goals. Al-Nassr have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Al Taawoun FC at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.4%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
9%
1:0
8%
3:1
7.9%
1:1
7.1%
4:0
5.9%
4:1
5.2%
2:2
4%
3:2
3.5%
1:2
3.1%
0:0
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Nassr | Al Taawoun FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 86 | Points | 53 |
| 82% | Win % | 44% |
| 2.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Al-Nassr at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Al Taawoun FC Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Nassr
W
D
Al Taawoun FC
L
