1
28%
Home Win
3.57
X
25%
Draw
3.94
2
47%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Najma an expected 1.1 goals and Al-Hazem an expected 1.5 goals. Al Najma have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al-Hazem at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9.3%
0:2
8.2%
1:0
7.8%
0:0
6.9%
2:1
6.8%
2:2
5.2%
1:3
4.7%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Hazem Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Al Najma | Al-Hazem | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 9 |
| 16 | Points | 42 |
| 9% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al Najma at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Al-Hazem Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Al Najma
D
Al-Hazem
D
L
D
