1
36%
Home Win
2.76
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
38%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Kholood an expected 1.4 goals and Al Shabab an expected 1.4 goals. Al Kholood have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Al Shabab at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
8.5%
1:0
8.3%
2:1
8.2%
0:2
6.2%
0:0
6%
2:2
5.9%
2:0
5.7%
1:3
4%
3:1
3.8%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Shabab Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Al Kholood | Al Shabab | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 13 |
| 33 | Points | 35 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
Venue Form
Al Kholood at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Al Shabab Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al Kholood
D
D
Al Shabab
L
