1
14%
Home Win
7.17
X
18%
Draw
5.53
2
68%
Away Win
1.47
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
2.32
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.0 goals and Al-Nassr an expected 2.3 goals. Al-Ittihad FC have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Al-Nassr at 68%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.2%
1:2
9.7%
0:1
8.7%
1:1
8.4%
0:3
7.9%
1:3
7.5%
2:2
4.6%
0:4
4.6%
1:4
4.4%
2:1
4%
0:0
3.8%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al-Nassr Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| Al-Ittihad FC | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 1 |
| 55 | Points | 86 |
| 47% | Win % | 82% |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.68 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
Venue Form
Al-Ittihad FC at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Al-Nassr Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al-Ittihad FC
L
W
Al-Nassr
W
