Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 14 May 2026 · Saudi Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.52
xG Away 1.61
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
BTTS 63%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Al-Ettifaq an expected 1.5 goals and Al-Ittihad FC an expected 1.6 goals. Al-Ettifaq have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Al-Ittihad FC at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.7%
1:2 8.6%
2:1 8.1%
0:1 7%
1:0 6.6%
2:2 6.5%
0:2 5.7%
2:0 5%
1:3 4.6%
0:0 4.4%
3:1 4.1%
2:3 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Al-Ittihad FC Win
Probability 40%
Predicted Odds 2.5
Market Odds 2.66

Team Comparison

Al-Ettifaq Al-Ittihad FC
7 League Position 5
50 Points 55
41% Win % 47%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41

Venue Form

Al-Ettifaq at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Al-Ittihad FC Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Al-Ettifaq
D L
Al-Ittihad FC
W