1
22%
Home Win
4.62
X
22%
Draw
4.48
2
56%
Away Win
1.79
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.89
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akron an expected 1.1 goals and CSKA Moscow an expected 1.9 goals. Akron have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and CSKA Moscow at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.6%
0:2
9.1%
1:3
6.2%
2:1
5.7%
0:3
5.7%
1:0
5.5%
2:2
5.4%
0:0
5.1%
2:3
3.4%
2:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | CSKA Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Akron | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 5 |
| 27 | Points | 51 |
| 20% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |